The market-implied odds for Chicago’s July 10 high temperature center on the 78–81°F range because National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a moderating airmass with daytime highs near or slightly below normal. A surface high and northwest flow are expected to limit moisture and suppress afternoon heating, while Lake Michigan’s cool onshore breeze further caps readings near the official O’Hare or Midway sensors. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping the 84°F+ tail probabilities low; any late-day clearing or weaker lake effect could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored bin. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning model runs will provide the final resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 10 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 10 de julio?
80-81°F 43%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 6%
NUEVO
$11,322 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,322 Vol.
10 jul 2026
71°F o menos
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
<1%
80-81°F 43%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 6%
NUEVO
$11,322 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,322 Vol.
10 jul 2026
71°F o menos
$518 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$241 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,304 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$1,707 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$793 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$1,614 Vol.
43%
82-83°F
$2,137 Vol.
22%
84-85°F
$1,906 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$244 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$562 Vol.
<1%
90°F o más
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds for Chicago’s July 10 high temperature center on the 78–81°F range because National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a moderating airmass with daytime highs near or slightly below normal. A surface high and northwest flow are expected to limit moisture and suppress afternoon heating, while Lake Michigan’s cool onshore breeze further caps readings near the official O’Hare or Midway sensors. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping the 84°F+ tail probabilities low; any late-day clearing or weaker lake effect could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored bin. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning model runs will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$11,322Fecha de finalización
10 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds for Chicago’s July 10 high temperature center on the 78–81°F range because National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a moderating airmass with daytime highs near or slightly below normal. A surface high and northwest flow are expected to limit moisture and suppress afternoon heating, while Lake Michigan’s cool onshore breeze further caps readings near the official O’Hare or Midway sensors. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping the 84°F+ tail probabilities low; any late-day clearing or weaker lake effect could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored bin. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning model runs will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,322Fecha de finalización
10 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds for Chicago’s July 10 high temperature center on the 78–81°F range because National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a moderating airmass with daytime highs near or slightly below normal. A surface high and northwest flow are expected to limit moisture and suppress afternoon heating, while Lake Michigan’s cool onshore breeze further caps readings near the official O’Hare or Midway sensors. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping the 84°F+ tail probabilities low; any late-day clearing or weaker lake effect could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored bin. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning model runs will provide the final resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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