**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 8?
31°C 40%
30°C 29%
32°C 20.5%
29°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 jul 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
29%
31°C
40%
32°C
21%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 29%
32°C 20.5%
29°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 jul 2026
25°C or below
$90 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$111 Vol.
4%
29°C
$145 Vol.
7%
30°C
$189 Vol.
29%
31°C
$314 Vol.
40%
32°C
$202 Vol.
21%
33°C
$104 Vol.
4%
34°C
$173 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$84 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$1,548Fecha de finalización
8 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,548Fecha de finalización
8 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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