Short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration highlight thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 8, which are capping expected peak temperatures near 30°C and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 29°C–31°C brackets. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with monsoon-season moisture supports scattered convection that reduces surface heating, while any delay or weakening in rainfall timing could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 32°C. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32°C, but recent regional tropical influences have favored slightly suppressed maxima. Updated CMA and ECMWF model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 8?
30°C 22%
29°C 19%
31°C 19%
32°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 jul 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
7%
29°C
19%
30°C
22%
31°C
19%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
7%
30°C 22%
29°C 19%
31°C 19%
32°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 jul 2026
25°C or below
$836 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$50 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
6%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$47 Vol.
22%
31°C
$10 Vol.
19%
32°C
$0 Vol.
13%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration highlight thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 8, which are capping expected peak temperatures near 30°C and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 29°C–31°C brackets. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with monsoon-season moisture supports scattered convection that reduces surface heating, while any delay or weakening in rainfall timing could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 32°C. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32°C, but recent regional tropical influences have favored slightly suppressed maxima. Updated CMA and ECMWF model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$943Fecha de finalización
8 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration highlight thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 8, which are capping expected peak temperatures near 30°C and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 29°C–31°C brackets. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with monsoon-season moisture supports scattered convection that reduces surface heating, while any delay or weakening in rainfall timing could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 32°C. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32°C, but recent regional tropical influences have favored slightly suppressed maxima. Updated CMA and ECMWF model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$943Fecha de finalización
8 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration highlight thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Shenzhen on July 8, which are capping expected peak temperatures near 30°C and creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds between the 29°C–31°C brackets. Persistent high humidity above 75% combined with monsoon-season moisture supports scattered convection that reduces surface heating, while any delay or weakening in rainfall timing could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 32°C. Historical July climatology shows typical highs of 32°C, but recent regional tropical influences have favored slightly suppressed maxima. Updated CMA and ECMWF model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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