Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris minimum temperatures on July 8 near 17°C, reflecting a dominant warm air mass and high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. Clear skies and light winds promote some radiative heat loss overnight, yet the overall thermal profile and urban heat island effect keep readings above seasonal normals around 14–16°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (16–18°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the ongoing heat dome. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Paris on July 8?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 8?
16°C 28%
17°C 27%
18°C 21%
20°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 jul 2026
15°C or below
17%
16°C
28%
17°C
27%
18°C
21%
19°C
15%
20°C
18%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
16°C 28%
17°C 27%
18°C 21%
20°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 jul 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$3 Vol.
28%
17°C
$1 Vol.
27%
18°C
$1 Vol.
21%
19°C
$8 Vol.
15%
20°C
$6 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
18%
22°C
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$24 Vol.
3%
24°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$77 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris minimum temperatures on July 8 near 17°C, reflecting a dominant warm air mass and high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. Clear skies and light winds promote some radiative heat loss overnight, yet the overall thermal profile and urban heat island effect keep readings above seasonal normals around 14–16°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (16–18°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the ongoing heat dome. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$235Fecha de finalización
8 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris minimum temperatures on July 8 near 17°C, reflecting a dominant warm air mass and high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. Clear skies and light winds promote some radiative heat loss overnight, yet the overall thermal profile and urban heat island effect keep readings above seasonal normals around 14–16°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (16–18°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the ongoing heat dome. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$235Fecha de finalización
8 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris minimum temperatures on July 8 near 17°C, reflecting a dominant warm air mass and high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. Clear skies and light winds promote some radiative heat loss overnight, yet the overall thermal profile and urban heat island effect keep readings above seasonal normals around 14–16°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (16–18°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the ongoing heat dome. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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