High pressure building across southern England is sustaining warm, mostly sunny conditions into early July 2026, keeping London’s daily maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Recent Met Office guidance notes a warm ridge extending over the southeast, with limited Atlantic moisture and light winds favoring daytime heating, though a modest dip in temperatures is possible by July 6–7 as the ridge weakens slightly. Official forecasts emphasize model consensus on clear or partly cloudy skies with minimal rain risk, while the urban heat island effect in central London can add 1–3°C relative to surrounding areas. Traders are weighing these subtle steering and insolation factors against historical July baselines near 23°C, with resolution hinging on the precise Met Office reading for the city’s highest temperature on the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on July 7?
Highest temperature in London on July 7?
31°C 39%
30°C 33%
32°C 13%
29°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jul 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
33%
31°C
39%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
30°C 33%
32°C 13%
29°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jul 2026
25°C or below
$939 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$314 Vol.
1%
28°C
$657 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,374 Vol.
12%
30°C
$819 Vol.
33%
31°C
$965 Vol.
39%
32°C
$1,107 Vol.
13%
33°C
$1,293 Vol.
4%
34°C
$627 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building across southern England is sustaining warm, mostly sunny conditions into early July 2026, keeping London’s daily maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Recent Met Office guidance notes a warm ridge extending over the southeast, with limited Atlantic moisture and light winds favoring daytime heating, though a modest dip in temperatures is possible by July 6–7 as the ridge weakens slightly. Official forecasts emphasize model consensus on clear or partly cloudy skies with minimal rain risk, while the urban heat island effect in central London can add 1–3°C relative to surrounding areas. Traders are weighing these subtle steering and insolation factors against historical July baselines near 23°C, with resolution hinging on the precise Met Office reading for the city’s highest temperature on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$8,469Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure building across southern England is sustaining warm, mostly sunny conditions into early July 2026, keeping London’s daily maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Recent Met Office guidance notes a warm ridge extending over the southeast, with limited Atlantic moisture and light winds favoring daytime heating, though a modest dip in temperatures is possible by July 6–7 as the ridge weakens slightly. Official forecasts emphasize model consensus on clear or partly cloudy skies with minimal rain risk, while the urban heat island effect in central London can add 1–3°C relative to surrounding areas. Traders are weighing these subtle steering and insolation factors against historical July baselines near 23°C, with resolution hinging on the precise Met Office reading for the city’s highest temperature on the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,469Fecha de finalización
7 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure building across southern England is sustaining warm, mostly sunny conditions into early July 2026, keeping London’s daily maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Recent Met Office guidance notes a warm ridge extending over the southeast, with limited Atlantic moisture and light winds favoring daytime heating, though a modest dip in temperatures is possible by July 6–7 as the ridge weakens slightly. Official forecasts emphasize model consensus on clear or partly cloudy skies with minimal rain risk, while the urban heat island effect in central London can add 1–3°C relative to surrounding areas. Traders are weighing these subtle steering and insolation factors against historical July baselines near 23°C, with resolution hinging on the precise Met Office reading for the city’s highest temperature on the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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