Latest Met Office guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus indicate daytime maxima of 24–26°C for London on September 3, driven by southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 25°C (41% implied probability), 24°C (24%), and 26°C (22%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and typical early-September variability around the 20–21°C climatological baseline. Light rain risk and wind speeds near 10–15 mph may temper peaks, while stable large-scale patterns since late August have kept forecast ranges narrow. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 3 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 3 de septiembre?
25°C 41%
26°C 24%
24°C 23%
23°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
13%
24°C
23%
25°C
41%
26°C
24%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 41%
26°C 24%
24°C 23%
23°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
19°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$109 Vol.
13%
24°C
$28 Vol.
23%
25°C
$252 Vol.
41%
26°C
$156 Vol.
24%
27°C
$68 Vol.
9%
28°C
$15 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$67 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus indicate daytime maxima of 24–26°C for London on September 3, driven by southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 25°C (41% implied probability), 24°C (24%), and 26°C (22%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and typical early-September variability around the 20–21°C climatological baseline. Light rain risk and wind speeds near 10–15 mph may temper peaks, while stable large-scale patterns since late August have kept forecast ranges narrow. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$842Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus indicate daytime maxima of 24–26°C for London on September 3, driven by southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 25°C (41% implied probability), 24°C (24%), and 26°C (22%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and typical early-September variability around the 20–21°C climatological baseline. Light rain risk and wind speeds near 10–15 mph may temper peaks, while stable large-scale patterns since late August have kept forecast ranges narrow. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$842Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance and numerical weather prediction consensus indicate daytime maxima of 24–26°C for London on September 3, driven by southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and limited daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 25°C (41% implied probability), 24°C (24%), and 26°C (22%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spreads and typical early-September variability around the 20–21°C climatological baseline. Light rain risk and wind speeds near 10–15 mph may temper peaks, while stable large-scale patterns since late August have kept forecast ranges narrow. Updated high-resolution model runs and official Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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