Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 2, driven by southwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain or showers that limit surface heating. Persistent overcast conditions and modest wind speeds reduce the likelihood of stronger insolation needed for higher peaks, while minimums near 15–16°C support a modest diurnal range. Model spreads and timing uncertainties around any afternoon clearing explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (42.5%) and 22°C (25.5%), with 20°C also competitive. Official guidance and observational trends from early September align with these central outcomes rather than extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 2 de septiembre?
21°C 43%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
19°C 6.3%
NUEVO
$28,148 Vol.
NUEVO
$28,148 Vol.
2 sep 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
18%
21°C
43%
22°C
26%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
19°C 6.3%
NUEVO
$28,148 Vol.
NUEVO
$28,148 Vol.
2 sep 2026
17°C or below
$3,162 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,317 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,938 Vol.
6%
20°C
$6,094 Vol.
18%
21°C
$4,158 Vol.
43%
22°C
$4,309 Vol.
26%
23°C
$2,222 Vol.
6%
24°C
$1,949 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1,374 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$245 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 2, driven by southwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain or showers that limit surface heating. Persistent overcast conditions and modest wind speeds reduce the likelihood of stronger insolation needed for higher peaks, while minimums near 15–16°C support a modest diurnal range. Model spreads and timing uncertainties around any afternoon clearing explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (42.5%) and 22°C (25.5%), with 20°C also competitive. Official guidance and observational trends from early September align with these central outcomes rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$28,148Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 2, driven by southwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain or showers that limit surface heating. Persistent overcast conditions and modest wind speeds reduce the likelihood of stronger insolation needed for higher peaks, while minimums near 15–16°C support a modest diurnal range. Model spreads and timing uncertainties around any afternoon clearing explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (42.5%) and 22°C (25.5%), with 20°C also competitive. Official guidance and observational trends from early September align with these central outcomes rather than extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$28,148Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 2, driven by southwest flow, extensive low cloud, and scattered light rain or showers that limit surface heating. Persistent overcast conditions and modest wind speeds reduce the likelihood of stronger insolation needed for higher peaks, while minimums near 15–16°C support a modest diurnal range. Model spreads and timing uncertainties around any afternoon clearing explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21°C (42.5%) and 22°C (25.5%), with 20°C also competitive. Official guidance and observational trends from early September align with these central outcomes rather than extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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