Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate mostly sunny conditions and a sea-breeze moderated high of 32–33 °C for Tel Aviv on September 1, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light northwesterly flow are expected to suppress cloud cover and limit convective cooling, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the early-September climatological average of roughly 30–31 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small probabilities assigned to outliers above 34 °C or below 32 °C, reflecting limited forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Updated model runs and any late adjustments from the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 1 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 1 de septiembre?
33°C 61%
32°C 40%
34°C 8%
31°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
40%
33°C
61%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 61%
32°C 40%
34°C 8%
31°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
30°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
7%
32°C
$189 Vol.
40%
33°C
$723 Vol.
61%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$0 Vol.
3%
36°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$266 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate mostly sunny conditions and a sea-breeze moderated high of 32–33 °C for Tel Aviv on September 1, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light northwesterly flow are expected to suppress cloud cover and limit convective cooling, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the early-September climatological average of roughly 30–31 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small probabilities assigned to outliers above 34 °C or below 32 °C, reflecting limited forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Updated model runs and any late adjustments from the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,890Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate mostly sunny conditions and a sea-breeze moderated high of 32–33 °C for Tel Aviv on September 1, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light northwesterly flow are expected to suppress cloud cover and limit convective cooling, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the early-September climatological average of roughly 30–31 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small probabilities assigned to outliers above 34 °C or below 32 °C, reflecting limited forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Updated model runs and any late adjustments from the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,890Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate mostly sunny conditions and a sea-breeze moderated high of 32–33 °C for Tel Aviv on September 1, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light northwesterly flow are expected to suppress cloud cover and limit convective cooling, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the early-September climatological average of roughly 30–31 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only small probabilities assigned to outliers above 34 °C or below 32 °C, reflecting limited forecast uncertainty this close to the event. Updated model runs and any late adjustments from the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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