Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models indicate overnight lows for Houston on September 1 near 77–79°F amid a heat dome with highs in the mid-90s. A weak Gulf low-pressure area is increasing atmospheric moisture and cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports higher minimum temperatures by trapping heat and elevating dew points near 70–75°F. Light southerly winds and potential scattered showers further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 76°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 78–83°F because forecast models show modest disagreement on exact cloud thickness and any localized cooling from precipitation, creating genuine uncertainty within the typical late-summer range while historical September minima rarely dip much lower under similar patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 1 de septiembre?
90°F o más 43%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
71°F o menos
9%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
20%
90°F o más
43%
90°F o más 43%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
71°F o menos
$0 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
24%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
25%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$1 Vol.
32%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
25%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
20%
88-89°F
$5 Vol.
20%
90°F o más
$5 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models indicate overnight lows for Houston on September 1 near 77–79°F amid a heat dome with highs in the mid-90s. A weak Gulf low-pressure area is increasing atmospheric moisture and cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports higher minimum temperatures by trapping heat and elevating dew points near 70–75°F. Light southerly winds and potential scattered showers further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 76°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 78–83°F because forecast models show modest disagreement on exact cloud thickness and any localized cooling from precipitation, creating genuine uncertainty within the typical late-summer range while historical September minima rarely dip much lower under similar patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volumen
$16Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models indicate overnight lows for Houston on September 1 near 77–79°F amid a heat dome with highs in the mid-90s. A weak Gulf low-pressure area is increasing atmospheric moisture and cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports higher minimum temperatures by trapping heat and elevating dew points near 70–75°F. Light southerly winds and potential scattered showers further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 76°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 78–83°F because forecast models show modest disagreement on exact cloud thickness and any localized cooling from precipitation, creating genuine uncertainty within the typical late-summer range while historical September minima rarely dip much lower under similar patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models indicate overnight lows for Houston on September 1 near 77–79°F amid a heat dome with highs in the mid-90s. A weak Gulf low-pressure area is increasing atmospheric moisture and cloud cover, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling and supports higher minimum temperatures by trapping heat and elevating dew points near 70–75°F. Light southerly winds and potential scattered showers further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 76°F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 78–83°F because forecast models show modest disagreement on exact cloud thickness and any localized cooling from precipitation, creating genuine uncertainty within the typical late-summer range while historical September minima rarely dip much lower under similar patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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