Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 point to a high near 64–69°F, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 66–71°F outcomes. Persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer stratus are expected to limit daytime heating, with morning cloud cover potentially delaying peak temperatures until afternoon clearing. Historical climatology shows an average high of 69.6°F for the date, but recent late-August conditions featuring mostly cloudy skies and 60s highs reinforce trader emphasis on moderate readings. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed creates the primary uncertainty between the leading bins, with new 48-hour guidance updates likely to refine the exact maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 1 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 1 de septiembre?
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 19%
62-63°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
59°F o menos
2%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
4%
78°F o más
1%
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 25%
70-71°F 19%
62-63°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
59°F o menos
$6 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$1 Vol.
5%
62-63°F
$1 Vol.
15%
64-65°F
$32 Vol.
10%
66-67°F
$131 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$23 Vol.
29%
70-71°F
$1 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$7 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$316 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$6 Vol.
4%
78°F o más
$1 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 point to a high near 64–69°F, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 66–71°F outcomes. Persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer stratus are expected to limit daytime heating, with morning cloud cover potentially delaying peak temperatures until afternoon clearing. Historical climatology shows an average high of 69.6°F for the date, but recent late-August conditions featuring mostly cloudy skies and 60s highs reinforce trader emphasis on moderate readings. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed creates the primary uncertainty between the leading bins, with new 48-hour guidance updates likely to refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$527Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 point to a high near 64–69°F, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 66–71°F outcomes. Persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer stratus are expected to limit daytime heating, with morning cloud cover potentially delaying peak temperatures until afternoon clearing. Historical climatology shows an average high of 69.6°F for the date, but recent late-August conditions featuring mostly cloudy skies and 60s highs reinforce trader emphasis on moderate readings. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed creates the primary uncertainty between the leading bins, with new 48-hour guidance updates likely to refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$527Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for San Francisco on September 1 point to a high near 64–69°F, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 66–71°F outcomes. Persistent onshore southwest flow and marine layer stratus are expected to limit daytime heating, with morning cloud cover potentially delaying peak temperatures until afternoon clearing. Historical climatology shows an average high of 69.6°F for the date, but recent late-August conditions featuring mostly cloudy skies and 60s highs reinforce trader emphasis on moderate readings. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed creates the primary uncertainty between the leading bins, with new 48-hour guidance updates likely to refine the exact maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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