Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 30, suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal norms of 31–32°C. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C highs, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 28% amid tight clustering. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture advection, reduced insolation from stratiform clouds, and light northerly winds that limit mixing, all of which narrow the plausible range while leaving room for model adjustments if convective development intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 30 de agosto?
27°C 28%
28°C 22%
26°C 19%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
19%
27°C
28%
28°C
22%
29°C
13%
30°C
12%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 28%
28°C 22%
26°C 19%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
$13 Vol.
1%
24°C
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C
$45 Vol.
7%
26°C
$5 Vol.
19%
27°C
$17 Vol.
28%
28°C
$68 Vol.
22%
29°C
$12 Vol.
13%
30°C
$42 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C
$80 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$240 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 30, suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal norms of 31–32°C. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C highs, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 28% amid tight clustering. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture advection, reduced insolation from stratiform clouds, and light northerly winds that limit mixing, all of which narrow the plausible range while leaving room for model adjustments if convective development intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$543Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 30, suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal norms of 31–32°C. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C highs, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 28% amid tight clustering. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture advection, reduced insolation from stratiform clouds, and light northerly winds that limit mixing, all of which narrow the plausible range while leaving room for model adjustments if convective development intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$543Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers over Tokyo on August 30, suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal norms of 31–32°C. This has shifted trader consensus toward 26–28°C highs, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability at 28% amid tight clustering. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture advection, reduced insolation from stratiform clouds, and light northerly winds that limit mixing, all of which narrow the plausible range while leaving room for model adjustments if convective development intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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