Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 21–23°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling. Higher dew points near 20–22°C and elevated humidity further suppress temperature drops, while recent days of rain have kept surface conditions moister than typical late-summer norms. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on these thresholds, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of any clearing could nudge the minimum across the closely matched 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical August lows averaging near 23°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Tokio el 30 de agosto?
21°C 44%
22°C 42%
20°C 19%
23°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
19%
21°C
37%
22°C
42%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 44%
22°C 42%
20°C 19%
23°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
17°C or below
$205 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$21 Vol.
5%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$372 Vol.
37%
22°C
$945 Vol.
42%
23°C
$281 Vol.
13%
24°C
$129 Vol.
5%
25°C
$115 Vol.
2%
26°C
$104 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$104 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 21–23°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling. Higher dew points near 20–22°C and elevated humidity further suppress temperature drops, while recent days of rain have kept surface conditions moister than typical late-summer norms. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on these thresholds, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of any clearing could nudge the minimum across the closely matched 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical August lows averaging near 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,297Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 21–23°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling. Higher dew points near 20–22°C and elevated humidity further suppress temperature drops, while recent days of rain have kept surface conditions moister than typical late-summer norms. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on these thresholds, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of any clearing could nudge the minimum across the closely matched 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical August lows averaging near 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,297Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 30 will likely settle near 21–23°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling. Higher dew points near 20–22°C and elevated humidity further suppress temperature drops, while recent days of rain have kept surface conditions moister than typical late-summer norms. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on these thresholds, yet small shifts in timing or intensity of any clearing could nudge the minimum across the closely matched 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh these variables against historical August lows averaging near 23°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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