Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and local Chinese forecasts points to a daytime high in Qingdao of 29–30 °C on August 31 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and northerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and the late-summer monsoon transition limit peak heating despite clear conditions and near-peak insolation, while any residual cloud or shower activity from the preceding days could shave 1 °C. With 30 °C and 31 °C together commanding roughly 60 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow range between typical late-August maxima (28–30 °C) and modest warming under anticyclonic flow. Updated runs from regional models will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 31 de agosto?
30°C 29%
31°C 27%
29°C 21%
32°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
25°C o menos
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
21%
30°C
34%
31°C
27%
32°C
16%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
30°C 29%
31°C 27%
29°C 21%
32°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
25°C o menos
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$103 Vol.
34%
31°C
$38 Vol.
27%
32°C
$15 Vol.
16%
33°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and local Chinese forecasts points to a daytime high in Qingdao of 29–30 °C on August 31 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and northerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and the late-summer monsoon transition limit peak heating despite clear conditions and near-peak insolation, while any residual cloud or shower activity from the preceding days could shave 1 °C. With 30 °C and 31 °C together commanding roughly 60 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow range between typical late-August maxima (28–30 °C) and modest warming under anticyclonic flow. Updated runs from regional models will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$155Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and local Chinese forecasts points to a daytime high in Qingdao of 29–30 °C on August 31 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and northerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and the late-summer monsoon transition limit peak heating despite clear conditions and near-peak insolation, while any residual cloud or shower activity from the preceding days could shave 1 °C. With 30 °C and 31 °C together commanding roughly 60 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow range between typical late-August maxima (28–30 °C) and modest warming under anticyclonic flow. Updated runs from regional models will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$155Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and local Chinese forecasts points to a daytime high in Qingdao of 29–30 °C on August 31 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and northerly winds of 3–4 Beaufort. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and the late-summer monsoon transition limit peak heating despite clear conditions and near-peak insolation, while any residual cloud or shower activity from the preceding days could shave 1 °C. With 30 °C and 31 °C together commanding roughly 60 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing the narrow range between typical late-August maxima (28–30 °C) and modest warming under anticyclonic flow. Updated runs from regional models will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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