Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend for Tokyo on August 29 driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to northeasterly winds associated with a frontal boundary and approaching low-pressure system. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows highs likely peaking near 28–29°C under mostly overcast skies, with reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rain limiting afternoon warming compared to clearer prior days. This aligns with late-August climatology as the Pacific high weakens and northerly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air. The tight market spread between 27°C and 28°C reflects model uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks and precipitation intensity, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on the final steering pattern. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on frontal progression will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 29 de agosto?
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 13%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
17%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
13%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
26°C 17%
29°C 13%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
17%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
13%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend for Tokyo on August 29 driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to northeasterly winds associated with a frontal boundary and approaching low-pressure system. Official guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows highs likely peaking near 28–29°C under mostly overcast skies, with reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rain limiting afternoon warming compared to clearer prior days. This aligns with late-August climatology as the Pacific high weakens and northerly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air. The tight market spread between 27°C and 28°C reflects model uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks and precipitation intensity, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on the final steering pattern. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on frontal progression will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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