Strong model consensus from sources including the Met Office, NOAA-derived forecasts, and regional agencies positions 31°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on August 29, 2026, consistent with the market-implied 46.5% odds, followed closely by 30°C and 32°C. Persistent westerly winds of 15–30 mph, combined with extensive cloud cover and high humidity near 80%, are moderating surface heating during the late-monsoon period, while dew points around 23–24°C limit extreme diurnal rise. Historical climatology for late August shows typical maxima of 30–32°C under similar steering patterns, with low precipitation risk keeping the daily high within this narrow band absent any unexpected clearing or synoptic shift. Updated model runs through midday will refine the final observed maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Karachi el 29 de agosto?
31°C 46%
30°C 22%
32°C 22%
29°C 2.9%
$12,600 Vol.
$12,600 Vol.
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
22%
31°C
46%
32°C
22%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o más
<1%
31°C 46%
30°C 22%
32°C 22%
29°C 2.9%
$12,600 Vol.
$12,600 Vol.
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
22%
31°C
46%
32°C
22%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from sources including the Met Office, NOAA-derived forecasts, and regional agencies positions 31°C as the most probable peak for Karachi on August 29, 2026, consistent with the market-implied 46.5% odds, followed closely by 30°C and 32°C. Persistent westerly winds of 15–30 mph, combined with extensive cloud cover and high humidity near 80%, are moderating surface heating during the late-monsoon period, while dew points around 23–24°C limit extreme diurnal rise. Historical climatology for late August shows typical maxima of 30–32°C under similar steering patterns, with low precipitation risk keeping the daily high within this narrow band absent any unexpected clearing or synoptic shift. Updated model runs through midday will refine the final observed maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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