Forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and high humidity typical of late-monsoon conditions along the Arabian Sea coast. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing around 26–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light or no precipitation, with dew points near 23–24°C limiting radiative cooling. This consensus underpins the elevated market-implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C, while residual uncertainty in exact overnight timing and localized urban effects supports modest probabilities for both slightly lower and notably higher readings. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 24-hour period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 30 de agosto?
31°C or higher 53%
23°C 49%
29°C 49%
26°C 40%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
49%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
40%
27°C
30%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
53%
31°C or higher 53%
23°C 49%
29°C 49%
26°C 40%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
49%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
40%
27°C
30%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for Karachi on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and high humidity typical of late-monsoon conditions along the Arabian Sea coast. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing around 26–28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light or no precipitation, with dew points near 23–24°C limiting radiative cooling. This consensus underpins the elevated market-implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C, while residual uncertainty in exact overnight timing and localized urban effects supports modest probabilities for both slightly lower and notably higher readings. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 24-hour period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes