**Forecast consensus points to a minimum near 27°C on August 29, 2026, consistent with late-August climatology for Karachi's coastal environment.** Multiple models (including GFS-derived outputs) show overnight lows of 26–27°C (≈80–81°F) under mostly cloudy skies, with light westerly to southwesterly winds of 6–7 m/s maintaining marine influence and high humidity (70–90%). This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling typical of drier inland locations. Recent observations through late August 2026 confirm minimums clustered around 26.6–28.5°C, aligning with the long-term August average low near 26–27°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points (near 23–24°C) further moderate temperature drops, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear skies keeps extremes unlikely. The closely matched market probabilities across 24–31°C reflect this narrow expected range plus normal forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours. Key differentiators among outcomes include subtle variations in cloud persistence, wind speed, and any last-minute model shifts in steering flow or moisture. Resolution will hinge on official station readings (e.g., Karachi Airport), where the daily minimum typically occurs pre-dawn.