Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with only modest rain chances (around 25–40%), consistent with late-August subtropical norms where average highs reach 31°C amid high humidity and potential afternoon convection. Multiple model runs and meteorological updates show no strong cooling influences or typhoon activity altering the pattern, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (58.5% implied probability) while assigning meaningful odds to 31°C and 33°C to account for minor variations in timing of showers or localized heating. Traders appear to price in typical forecast uncertainty ranges from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 27 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 27 de agosto?
32°C 59%
31°C 26%
33°C 14%
30°C 3%
NUEVO
$11,895 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,895 Vol.
27 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
26%
32°C
59%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
31°C 26%
33°C 14%
30°C 3%
NUEVO
$11,895 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,895 Vol.
27 ago 2026
26°C or below
$355 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$484 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,056 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,919 Vol.
3%
31°C
$3,175 Vol.
26%
32°C
$2,433 Vol.
59%
33°C
$802 Vol.
14%
34°C
$524 Vol.
3%
35°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$470 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with only modest rain chances (around 25–40%), consistent with late-August subtropical norms where average highs reach 31°C amid high humidity and potential afternoon convection. Multiple model runs and meteorological updates show no strong cooling influences or typhoon activity altering the pattern, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (58.5% implied probability) while assigning meaningful odds to 31°C and 33°C to account for minor variations in timing of showers or localized heating. Traders appear to price in typical forecast uncertainty ranges from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$11,895Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with only modest rain chances (around 25–40%), consistent with late-August subtropical norms where average highs reach 31°C amid high humidity and potential afternoon convection. Multiple model runs and meteorological updates show no strong cooling influences or typhoon activity altering the pattern, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (58.5% implied probability) while assigning meaningful odds to 31°C and 33°C to account for minor variations in timing of showers or localized heating. Traders appear to price in typical forecast uncertainty ranges from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,895Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, converge on a daily maximum near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with only modest rain chances (around 25–40%), consistent with late-August subtropical norms where average highs reach 31°C amid high humidity and potential afternoon convection. Multiple model runs and meteorological updates show no strong cooling influences or typhoon activity altering the pattern, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (58.5% implied probability) while assigning meaningful odds to 31°C and 33°C to account for minor variations in timing of showers or localized heating. Traders appear to price in typical forecast uncertainty ranges from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes