Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 in a narrow 25–28°C band, producing the tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C outcomes. A moderating Atlantic flow combined with variable cloud cover and possible light showers is limiting daytime heating, while residual warmth from the prior week prevents a sharper drop. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical late-August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. The next high-resolution runs and observational updates overnight will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 25 de agosto?
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
13%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
$1,042 Vol.
1%
23°C
$619 Vol.
5%
24°C
$699 Vol.
10%
25°C
$767 Vol.
16%
26°C
$1,302 Vol.
27%
27°C
$754 Vol.
26%
28°C
$638 Vol.
13%
29°C
$425 Vol.
6%
30°C
$166 Vol.
1%
31°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 in a narrow 25–28°C band, producing the tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C outcomes. A moderating Atlantic flow combined with variable cloud cover and possible light showers is limiting daytime heating, while residual warmth from the prior week prevents a sharper drop. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical late-August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. The next high-resolution runs and observational updates overnight will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$6,494Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 in a narrow 25–28°C band, producing the tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C outcomes. A moderating Atlantic flow combined with variable cloud cover and possible light showers is limiting daytime heating, while residual warmth from the prior week prevents a sharper drop. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical late-August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. The next high-resolution runs and observational updates overnight will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,494Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF place Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 in a narrow 25–28°C band, producing the tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C outcomes. A moderating Atlantic flow combined with variable cloud cover and possible light showers is limiting daytime heating, while residual warmth from the prior week prevents a sharper drop. Model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Historical late-August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. The next high-resolution runs and observational updates overnight will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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