Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 23 de agosto?
74-75°F 46%
76-77°F 35%
72-73°F 11%
78-79°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
65°F o menos
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
46%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o más
<1%
74-75°F 46%
76-77°F 35%
72-73°F 11%
78-79°F 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
65°F o menos
$213 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$90 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$208 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$163 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$71 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$656 Vol.
46%
76-77°F
$352 Vol.
35%
78-79°F
$119 Vol.
10%
80-81°F
$219 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$115 Vol.
<1%
84°F o más
$90 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$1,453Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,453Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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