Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance as of August 22, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and building high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average low near 13°C at Schiphol, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor cloud cover increases or wind shifts that could raise minima by 1–2°C. The near-even market pricing on both cold (6°C or below) and warm (16°C or higher) extremes reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with traders weighing subtle model differences in boundary layer mixing and dew point depression ahead of final NHC-equivalent updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 24 de agosto?
6°C o menos 96%
16°C o más 90%
14°C 36%
15°C 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
6°C o menos
96%
7°C
20%
8°C
24%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
36%
15°C
36%
16°C o más
90%
6°C o menos 96%
16°C o más 90%
14°C 36%
15°C 36%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
6°C o menos
$5 Vol.
96%
7°C
$5 Vol.
20%
8°C
$5 Vol.
24%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
20%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$25 Vol.
36%
15°C
$5 Vol.
36%
16°C o más
$5 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance as of August 22, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and building high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average low near 13°C at Schiphol, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor cloud cover increases or wind shifts that could raise minima by 1–2°C. The near-even market pricing on both cold (6°C or below) and warm (16°C or higher) extremes reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with traders weighing subtle model differences in boundary layer mixing and dew point depression ahead of final NHC-equivalent updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volumen
$50Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance as of August 22, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and building high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average low near 13°C at Schiphol, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor cloud cover increases or wind shifts that could raise minima by 1–2°C. The near-even market pricing on both cold (6°C or below) and warm (16°C or higher) extremes reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with traders weighing subtle model differences in boundary layer mixing and dew point depression ahead of final NHC-equivalent updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$50Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance as of August 22, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 around 11–14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, with light easterly winds and building high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term August climatological average low near 13°C at Schiphol, though ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor cloud cover increases or wind shifts that could raise minima by 1–2°C. The near-even market pricing on both cold (6°C or below) and warm (16°C or higher) extremes reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes, with traders weighing subtle model differences in boundary layer mixing and dew point depression ahead of final NHC-equivalent updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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