Recent weather forecasts from European meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily high of 22–23°C in Munich on August 22, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 38.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology shows temperatures declining from mid-month peaks, with historical averages near 22°C and reduced likelihood of extremes after the 27°C spike recorded on August 17. Model consensus points to moderate westerly flow and possible showers moderating daytime maxima, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns keeps 21°C and 24°C viable but lower-probability alternatives. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 22 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 22 de agosto?
22°C 39%
21°C 26%
23°C 26%
20°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
11%
21°C
26%
22°C
39%
23°C
26%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 26%
23°C 26%
20°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
17°C or below
$156 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
1%
20°C
$97 Vol.
11%
21°C
$31 Vol.
26%
22°C
$105 Vol.
39%
23°C
$39 Vol.
26%
24°C
$60 Vol.
7%
25°C
$30 Vol.
6%
26°C
$41 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather forecasts from European meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily high of 22–23°C in Munich on August 22, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 38.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology shows temperatures declining from mid-month peaks, with historical averages near 22°C and reduced likelihood of extremes after the 27°C spike recorded on August 17. Model consensus points to moderate westerly flow and possible showers moderating daytime maxima, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns keeps 21°C and 24°C viable but lower-probability alternatives. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$712Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather forecasts from European meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily high of 22–23°C in Munich on August 22, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 38.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology shows temperatures declining from mid-month peaks, with historical averages near 22°C and reduced likelihood of extremes after the 27°C spike recorded on August 17. Model consensus points to moderate westerly flow and possible showers moderating daytime maxima, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns keeps 21°C and 24°C viable but lower-probability alternatives. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$712Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather forecasts from European meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily high of 22–23°C in Munich on August 22, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 38.5% and 25.5% implied probability. Late-August climatology shows temperatures declining from mid-month peaks, with historical averages near 22°C and reduced likelihood of extremes after the 27°C spike recorded on August 17. Model consensus points to moderate westerly flow and possible showers moderating daytime maxima, while uncertainty in exact steering patterns keeps 21°C and 24°C viable but lower-probability alternatives. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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