Recent National Weather Service and private model runs have converged on overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on August 25, producing the near-even split between the 64–65°F (31.5%) and 66–67°F (34.5%) bins. Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight favor modest radiational cooling, while the urban heat-island effect and residual moisture from recent days keep temperatures from dropping into the lower 60s. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 67°F, so current guidance sits slightly below average. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus the evening NWS forecast update for any last adjustments before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 25 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 25 de agosto?
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 32%
68-69°F 21%
62-63 °F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
53°F o menos
1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
2%
62-63 °F
11%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
9%
72°F o más
2%
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 32%
68-69°F 21%
62-63 °F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
53°F o menos
$5 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$110 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$10 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$10 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$495 Vol.
2%
62-63 °F
$127 Vol.
11%
64-65°F
$109 Vol.
32%
66-67°F
$113 Vol.
33%
68-69°F
$193 Vol.
21%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
9%
72°F o más
$25 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs have converged on overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on August 25, producing the near-even split between the 64–65°F (31.5%) and 66–67°F (34.5%) bins. Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight favor modest radiational cooling, while the urban heat-island effect and residual moisture from recent days keep temperatures from dropping into the lower 60s. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 67°F, so current guidance sits slightly below average. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus the evening NWS forecast update for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$1,197Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs have converged on overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on August 25, producing the near-even split between the 64–65°F (31.5%) and 66–67°F (34.5%) bins. Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight favor modest radiational cooling, while the urban heat-island effect and residual moisture from recent days keep temperatures from dropping into the lower 60s. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 67°F, so current guidance sits slightly below average. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus the evening NWS forecast update for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,197Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model runs have converged on overnight lows in the mid-60s for New York City on August 25, producing the near-even split between the 64–65°F (31.5%) and 66–67°F (34.5%) bins. Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight favor modest radiational cooling, while the urban heat-island effect and residual moisture from recent days keep temperatures from dropping into the lower 60s. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 67°F, so current guidance sits slightly below average. Traders will watch the final 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus the evening NWS forecast update for any last adjustments before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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