Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF project a mostly sunny regime over southern Germany on August 24, with modest insolation and light westerly flow supporting daytime maxima centered on 22–24 °C—slightly below the late-August climatological mean of ~23.7 °C. A preceding frontal passage has advected cooler, drier air that limits boundary-layer heating while suppressing cloud build-up, producing the tight 22–25 °C cluster reflected in market-implied odds. Remaining spread among outcomes arises from modest uncertainties in cloud timing, surface wind mixing, and local urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2 °C within the final 48-hour forecast window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 24 de agosto?
24°C 36%
23°C 26%
25°C 26%
22°C 15%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
15%
23°C
26%
24°C
36%
25°C
21%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
4%
24°C 36%
23°C 26%
25°C 26%
22°C 15%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
15%
23°C
26%
24°C
36%
25°C
21%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF project a mostly sunny regime over southern Germany on August 24, with modest insolation and light westerly flow supporting daytime maxima centered on 22–24 °C—slightly below the late-August climatological mean of ~23.7 °C. A preceding frontal passage has advected cooler, drier air that limits boundary-layer heating while suppressing cloud build-up, producing the tight 22–25 °C cluster reflected in market-implied odds. Remaining spread among outcomes arises from modest uncertainties in cloud timing, surface wind mixing, and local urban heat-island effects, all of which can shift the recorded maximum by 1–2 °C within the final 48-hour forecast window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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