Forecast models from multiple sources, including the Met Office and regional numerical guidance, converge on a maximum temperature of 24–26°C for Amsterdam on August 26, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome near or slightly above the late-August climatological average high of 21.5°C, supporting the market’s leading probabilities on 25°C and 26°C. Stable high pressure and dry conditions have limited convective cooling or warming extremes, while recent model runs show little spread in daytime maxima. Traders appear to weight the consensus mid-20s range most heavily, with tails for 23°C or 27°C reflecting residual forecast uncertainty typical of short-range ensemble spreads.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 26 de agosto?
25°C 38%
26°C 23%
24°C 21%
27°C 8%
$14,823 Vol.
$14,823 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
21%
25°C
38%
26°C
23%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C o más
<1%
25°C 38%
26°C 23%
24°C 21%
27°C 8%
$14,823 Vol.
$14,823 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
21%
25°C
38%
26°C
23%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources, including the Met Office and regional numerical guidance, converge on a maximum temperature of 24–26°C for Amsterdam on August 26, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with easterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome near or slightly above the late-August climatological average high of 21.5°C, supporting the market’s leading probabilities on 25°C and 26°C. Stable high pressure and dry conditions have limited convective cooling or warming extremes, while recent model runs show little spread in daytime maxima. Traders appear to weight the consensus mid-20s range most heavily, with tails for 23°C or 27°C reflecting residual forecast uncertainty typical of short-range ensemble spreads.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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