Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore sea breezes from Pacific upwelling typically cap San Francisco highs near the August climatological average of 67–70°F at KSFO, yet current NWS and model guidance point to partial clearing and slightly warmer conditions for August 26. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 74–75°F (31.5%) and 76–77°F (22.5%), reflecting trader assessment of modest warming potential versus the usual cool advection. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any marine layer erosion, afternoon wind speeds, and subtle high-pressure influences that could allow brief inland heating before the next onshore surge. Official forecasts remain near 70–74°F with acknowledged uncertainty from model spread on boundary-layer mixing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 26 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 26 de agosto?
74-75°F 25%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
69°F o menos
5%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o más
1%
74-75°F 25%
76-77°F 21%
78-79°F 19%
72-73°F 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
69°F o menos
$5 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$33 Vol.
16%
74-75°F
$66 Vol.
25%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
21%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$242 Vol.
16%
82-83°F
$58 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$65 Vol.
<1%
88°F o más
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore sea breezes from Pacific upwelling typically cap San Francisco highs near the August climatological average of 67–70°F at KSFO, yet current NWS and model guidance point to partial clearing and slightly warmer conditions for August 26. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 74–75°F (31.5%) and 76–77°F (22.5%), reflecting trader assessment of modest warming potential versus the usual cool advection. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any marine layer erosion, afternoon wind speeds, and subtle high-pressure influences that could allow brief inland heating before the next onshore surge. Official forecasts remain near 70–74°F with acknowledged uncertainty from model spread on boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$489Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore sea breezes from Pacific upwelling typically cap San Francisco highs near the August climatological average of 67–70°F at KSFO, yet current NWS and model guidance point to partial clearing and slightly warmer conditions for August 26. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 74–75°F (31.5%) and 76–77°F (22.5%), reflecting trader assessment of modest warming potential versus the usual cool advection. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any marine layer erosion, afternoon wind speeds, and subtle high-pressure influences that could allow brief inland heating before the next onshore surge. Official forecasts remain near 70–74°F with acknowledged uncertainty from model spread on boundary-layer mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$489Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore sea breezes from Pacific upwelling typically cap San Francisco highs near the August climatological average of 67–70°F at KSFO, yet current NWS and model guidance point to partial clearing and slightly warmer conditions for August 26. This supports the market’s tight clustering around 74–75°F (31.5%) and 76–77°F (22.5%), reflecting trader assessment of modest warming potential versus the usual cool advection. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any marine layer erosion, afternoon wind speeds, and subtle high-pressure influences that could allow brief inland heating before the next onshore surge. Official forecasts remain near 70–74°F with acknowledged uncertainty from model spread on boundary-layer mixing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes