Persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across North Texas have sustained a dangerous heat wave, with official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus projecting a daily maximum of 106–107°F in Dallas on August 24. Recent observations of 106°F readings and extreme heat warnings reinforce trader confidence in this narrow range as the most likely outcome, while slight model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins at 104–105°F and 108–109°F viable. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data release that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 24 de agosto?
106-107°F 48%
104-105°F 22%
108-109°F 21%
110-111°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
22%
106-107°F
48%
108-109°F
21%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 48%
104-105°F 22%
108-109°F 21%
110-111°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
99°F or below
$31 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$343 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$5 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$231 Vol.
22%
106-107°F
$724 Vol.
48%
108-109°F
$28 Vol.
21%
110-111°F
$25 Vol.
4%
112-113°F
$85 Vol.
2%
114-115°F
$36 Vol.
1%
116-117°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
118°F or higher
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across North Texas have sustained a dangerous heat wave, with official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus projecting a daily maximum of 106–107°F in Dallas on August 24. Recent observations of 106°F readings and extreme heat warnings reinforce trader confidence in this narrow range as the most likely outcome, while slight model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins at 104–105°F and 108–109°F viable. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data release that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$1,633Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across North Texas have sustained a dangerous heat wave, with official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus projecting a daily maximum of 106–107°F in Dallas on August 24. Recent observations of 106°F readings and extreme heat warnings reinforce trader confidence in this narrow range as the most likely outcome, while slight model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins at 104–105°F and 108–109°F viable. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data release that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,633Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and subsidence warming across North Texas have sustained a dangerous heat wave, with official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus projecting a daily maximum of 106–107°F in Dallas on August 24. Recent observations of 106°F readings and extreme heat warnings reinforce trader confidence in this narrow range as the most likely outcome, while slight model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins at 104–105°F and 108–109°F viable. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data release that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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