Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 27–28°C in Madrid on August 25, 2026, with some models projecting a brief peak near 29°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (45.5%) over 29°C (38.5%) reflects this narrow spread and typical late-August cooling from the seasonal average of ~31°C, modulated by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential urban heat-island effects at official stations. Minor model differences in timing of any diurnal maximum or moisture advection create the close split, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by AEMET.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 25 de agosto?
28°C 46%
29°C 39%
27°C 10%
30°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
46%
29°C
39%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 39%
27°C 10%
30°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
24°C or below
$324 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$234 Vol.
1%
26°C
$609 Vol.
3%
27°C
$870 Vol.
10%
28°C
$1,030 Vol.
46%
29°C
$1,162 Vol.
39%
30°C
$236 Vol.
6%
31°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$198 Vol.
1%
33°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$669 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 27–28°C in Madrid on August 25, 2026, with some models projecting a brief peak near 29°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (45.5%) over 29°C (38.5%) reflects this narrow spread and typical late-August cooling from the seasonal average of ~31°C, modulated by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential urban heat-island effects at official stations. Minor model differences in timing of any diurnal maximum or moisture advection create the close split, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$5,620Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 27–28°C in Madrid on August 25, 2026, with some models projecting a brief peak near 29°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (45.5%) over 29°C (38.5%) reflects this narrow spread and typical late-August cooling from the seasonal average of ~31°C, modulated by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential urban heat-island effects at official stations. Minor model differences in timing of any diurnal maximum or moisture advection create the close split, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,620Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum of 27–28°C in Madrid on August 25, 2026, with some models projecting a brief peak near 29°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (45.5%) over 29°C (38.5%) reflects this narrow spread and typical late-August cooling from the seasonal average of ~31°C, modulated by variable cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and potential urban heat-island effects at official stations. Minor model differences in timing of any diurnal maximum or moisture advection create the close split, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by AEMET.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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