Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies highlight a transitional synoptic pattern over Moscow on August 26, with northwest advection of cooler maritime air ahead of a Scandinavian anticyclone suppressing daytime maxima. Variable cloud cover and scattered light rain or showers are expected to limit insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping the peak temperature in the 15–18°C range. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly around 15–17°C because small differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or shower placement can shift the daily high by 1–2°C, while stronger northerly flow or prolonged overcast would favor the lower end. This aligns with current model consensus showing values 1–1.5°C below late-August norms amid the seasonal decline in solar angle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 26 de agosto?
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
15°C 25%
18°C 15%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
4%
15°C
25%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
15%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 28%
16°C 27%
15°C 25%
18°C 15%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
4%
15°C
25%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
15%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies highlight a transitional synoptic pattern over Moscow on August 26, with northwest advection of cooler maritime air ahead of a Scandinavian anticyclone suppressing daytime maxima. Variable cloud cover and scattered light rain or showers are expected to limit insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping the peak temperature in the 15–18°C range. Leading market probabilities cluster tightly around 15–17°C because small differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or shower placement can shift the daily high by 1–2°C, while stronger northerly flow or prolonged overcast would favor the lower end. This aligns with current model consensus showing values 1–1.5°C below late-August norms amid the seasonal decline in solar angle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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