Recent numerical weather model consensus and official forecasts from sources like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to overnight lows of 11–13°C in Moscow on August 26, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a weakening front, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11.6°C and follows several days of below-normal temperatures amid an unstable pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market's emphasis on 12°C while allowing for minor upward revisions if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Final station readings from Vnukovo or Sheremetyevo will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 26 de agosto?
12°C 43%
15°C 35.3%
11°C 29%
10°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
29%
12°C
43%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
35%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 43%
15°C 35.3%
11°C 29%
10°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
7°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
8°C
$5 Vol.
1%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
43%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
35%
16°C
$230 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus and official forecasts from sources like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to overnight lows of 11–13°C in Moscow on August 26, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a weakening front, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11.6°C and follows several days of below-normal temperatures amid an unstable pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market's emphasis on 12°C while allowing for minor upward revisions if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Final station readings from Vnukovo or Sheremetyevo will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$375Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus and official forecasts from sources like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to overnight lows of 11–13°C in Moscow on August 26, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a weakening front, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11.6°C and follows several days of below-normal temperatures amid an unstable pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market's emphasis on 12°C while allowing for minor upward revisions if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Final station readings from Vnukovo or Sheremetyevo will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$375Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus and official forecasts from sources like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to overnight lows of 11–13°C in Moscow on August 26, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a weakening front, combined with persistent cloud cover and light rain that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11.6°C and follows several days of below-normal temperatures amid an unstable pattern. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the market's emphasis on 12°C while allowing for minor upward revisions if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Final station readings from Vnukovo or Sheremetyevo will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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