Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight increased showers and thunderstorms for August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to limit solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31°C amid high humidity and southwest winds. Current conditions on August 22 show localized peaks of 32–34°C under partly sunny skies, but model consensus points to greater cloud cover and convective rain by Monday, differentiating 31°C from cooler 30°C outcomes through reduced insolation. Seasonal El Niño influences support above-normal August warmth overall, yet short-term precipitation dynamics create tight market-implied odds between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings at the Observatory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 24 de agosto?
31°C 33%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
33%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
3%
31°C 33%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
24°C or below
$158 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$58 Vol.
1%
27°C
$289 Vol.
1%
28°C
$48 Vol.
5%
29°C
$138 Vol.
17%
30°C
$183 Vol.
29%
31°C
$74 Vol.
33%
32°C
$83 Vol.
14%
33°C
$148 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight increased showers and thunderstorms for August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to limit solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31°C amid high humidity and southwest winds. Current conditions on August 22 show localized peaks of 32–34°C under partly sunny skies, but model consensus points to greater cloud cover and convective rain by Monday, differentiating 31°C from cooler 30°C outcomes through reduced insolation. Seasonal El Niño influences support above-normal August warmth overall, yet short-term precipitation dynamics create tight market-implied odds between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings at the Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,236Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight increased showers and thunderstorms for August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to limit solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31°C amid high humidity and southwest winds. Current conditions on August 22 show localized peaks of 32–34°C under partly sunny skies, but model consensus points to greater cloud cover and convective rain by Monday, differentiating 31°C from cooler 30°C outcomes through reduced insolation. Seasonal El Niño influences support above-normal August warmth overall, yet short-term precipitation dynamics create tight market-implied odds between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings at the Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,236Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight increased showers and thunderstorms for August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to limit solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31°C amid high humidity and southwest winds. Current conditions on August 22 show localized peaks of 32–34°C under partly sunny skies, but model consensus points to greater cloud cover and convective rain by Monday, differentiating 31°C from cooler 30°C outcomes through reduced insolation. Seasonal El Niño influences support above-normal August warmth overall, yet short-term precipitation dynamics create tight market-implied odds between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings at the Observatory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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