**A high-pressure system (wyż) dominating central Europe is driving trader sentiment toward 22–24°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 26.** This setup favors mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, allowing moderate daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–14°C. Official IMGW guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS-based outputs) converge on highs of 22–25°C for central Poland, with Warsaw positioned between cooler northern air and warmer southern flows. Recent stabilization after earlier variable weather has reduced uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23°C (46%) and 22°C (32%) outcomes while assigning lower weight to outliers like 21°C or 25°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 25 continue to support this narrow range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 26 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 26 de agosto?
23°C 48%
22°C 32%
24°C 16%
21°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
32%
23°C
48%
24°C
16%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 48%
22°C 32%
24°C 16%
21°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
17°C or below
$200 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$282 Vol.
2%
21°C
$278 Vol.
5%
22°C
$242 Vol.
32%
23°C
$353 Vol.
48%
24°C
$808 Vol.
16%
25°C
$276 Vol.
3%
26°C
$237 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A high-pressure system (wyż) dominating central Europe is driving trader sentiment toward 22–24°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 26.** This setup favors mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, allowing moderate daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–14°C. Official IMGW guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS-based outputs) converge on highs of 22–25°C for central Poland, with Warsaw positioned between cooler northern air and warmer southern flows. Recent stabilization after earlier variable weather has reduced uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23°C (46%) and 22°C (32%) outcomes while assigning lower weight to outliers like 21°C or 25°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 25 continue to support this narrow range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$3,025Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A high-pressure system (wyż) dominating central Europe is driving trader sentiment toward 22–24°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 26.** This setup favors mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, allowing moderate daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–14°C. Official IMGW guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS-based outputs) converge on highs of 22–25°C for central Poland, with Warsaw positioned between cooler northern air and warmer southern flows. Recent stabilization after earlier variable weather has reduced uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23°C (46%) and 22°C (32%) outcomes while assigning lower weight to outliers like 21°C or 25°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 25 continue to support this narrow range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,025Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A high-pressure system (wyż) dominating central Europe is driving trader sentiment toward 22–24°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 26.** This setup favors mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, allowing moderate daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–14°C. Official IMGW guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS-based outputs) converge on highs of 22–25°C for central Poland, with Warsaw positioned between cooler northern air and warmer southern flows. Recent stabilization after earlier variable weather has reduced uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23°C (46%) and 22°C (32%) outcomes while assigning lower weight to outliers like 21°C or 25°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 25 continue to support this narrow range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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