Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 24 likely reaching 19–20°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and a low chance of light afternoon showers. The closely matched market odds between these two outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding peak solar heating, cloud timing, and boundary-layer mixing, all of which can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 21–23°C, but a cooler air mass currently in place supports the lower range. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official observations released on the day will be the key drivers for any final shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 24 de agosto?
20°C 39%
19°C 34%
21°C 13%
18°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
34%
20°C
39%
21°C
13%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C o más
<1%
20°C 39%
19°C 34%
21°C 13%
18°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
15°C o menos
$135 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$85 Vol.
1%
17°C
$85 Vol.
4%
18°C
$262 Vol.
11%
19°C
$122 Vol.
34%
20°C
$663 Vol.
39%
21°C
$83 Vol.
13%
22°C
$59 Vol.
3%
23°C
$138 Vol.
2%
24°C
$145 Vol.
1%
25°C o más
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 24 likely reaching 19–20°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and a low chance of light afternoon showers. The closely matched market odds between these two outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding peak solar heating, cloud timing, and boundary-layer mixing, all of which can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 21–23°C, but a cooler air mass currently in place supports the lower range. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official observations released on the day will be the key drivers for any final shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,042Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 24 likely reaching 19–20°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and a low chance of light afternoon showers. The closely matched market odds between these two outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding peak solar heating, cloud timing, and boundary-layer mixing, all of which can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 21–23°C, but a cooler air mass currently in place supports the lower range. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official observations released on the day will be the key drivers for any final shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,042Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 24 likely reaching 19–20°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and a low chance of light afternoon showers. The closely matched market odds between these two outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding peak solar heating, cloud timing, and boundary-layer mixing, all of which can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical maxima near 21–23°C, but a cooler air mass currently in place supports the lower range. Updated high-resolution model guidance and official observations released on the day will be the key drivers for any final shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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