Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on August 23 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light winds, positioning this as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability. A secondary 16°C outcome at 33.5% reflects model spread and the potential for brief warming under high-pressure influence following recent variable August patterns that included polar air outbreaks and milder interludes. Late-winter climatology in the region typically features daytime highs near 12–13°C, but current steering patterns and reduced southerly flow support the slightly elevated consensus. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities for 14°C or below (under 8% combined) or 17°C+ reflecting limited upside from unsettled conditions or stronger ridging. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine the range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 23 de agosto?
15°C 54%
16°C 34%
14°C 7%
17°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
7%
15°C
54%
16°C
34%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 54%
16°C 34%
14°C 7%
17°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
9°C or below
$560 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$424 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$365 Vol.
1%
12°C
$362 Vol.
1%
13°C
$428 Vol.
2%
14°C
$856 Vol.
7%
15°C
$1,037 Vol.
54%
16°C
$1,703 Vol.
34%
17°C
$639 Vol.
6%
18°C
$258 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$454 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on August 23 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light winds, positioning this as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability. A secondary 16°C outcome at 33.5% reflects model spread and the potential for brief warming under high-pressure influence following recent variable August patterns that included polar air outbreaks and milder interludes. Late-winter climatology in the region typically features daytime highs near 12–13°C, but current steering patterns and reduced southerly flow support the slightly elevated consensus. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities for 14°C or below (under 8% combined) or 17°C+ reflecting limited upside from unsettled conditions or stronger ridging. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$7,025Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on August 23 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light winds, positioning this as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability. A secondary 16°C outcome at 33.5% reflects model spread and the potential for brief warming under high-pressure influence following recent variable August patterns that included polar air outbreaks and milder interludes. Late-winter climatology in the region typically features daytime highs near 12–13°C, but current steering patterns and reduced southerly flow support the slightly elevated consensus. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities for 14°C or below (under 8% combined) or 17°C+ reflecting limited upside from unsettled conditions or stronger ridging. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,025Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService and the UK Met Office indicate a maximum of 15°C for Wellington on August 23 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light winds, positioning this as the market leader at 53.5% implied probability. A secondary 16°C outcome at 33.5% reflects model spread and the potential for brief warming under high-pressure influence following recent variable August patterns that included polar air outbreaks and milder interludes. Late-winter climatology in the region typically features daytime highs near 12–13°C, but current steering patterns and reduced southerly flow support the slightly elevated consensus. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model runs heavily, with lower probabilities for 14°C or below (under 8% combined) or 17°C+ reflecting limited upside from unsettled conditions or stronger ridging. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine the range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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