**KMA forecasts point to a daytime maximum of 31°C in Seoul/Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, establishing the baseline for trader positioning around 30–32°C.** Variable cloud cover from regional moisture—potentially influenced by distant typhoon Saudel circulation—introduces uncertainty by reducing surface insolation and enabling brief convective cooling, which can limit peaks even when guidance holds near 31°C. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect this sensitivity, with historical late-August patterns showing frequent 1–2°C deviations from deterministic highs amid humid, unstable air masses. Upcoming KMA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow 32°C or persistent clouds cap readings at 30°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 23 de agosto?
31°C 36%
32°C 27%
30°C 24%
33°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
24%
31°C
36%
32°C
27%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 27%
30°C 24%
33°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
25°C or below
$231 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$443 Vol.
1%
28°C
$458 Vol.
2%
29°C
$765 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,770 Vol.
24%
31°C
$733 Vol.
36%
32°C
$2,087 Vol.
27%
33°C
$571 Vol.
7%
34°C
$501 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$231 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**KMA forecasts point to a daytime maximum of 31°C in Seoul/Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, establishing the baseline for trader positioning around 30–32°C.**
Variable cloud cover from regional moisture—potentially influenced by distant typhoon Saudel circulation—introduces uncertainty by reducing surface insolation and enabling brief convective cooling, which can limit peaks even when guidance holds near 31°C. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect this sensitivity, with historical late-August patterns showing frequent 1–2°C deviations from deterministic highs amid humid, unstable air masses. Upcoming KMA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow 32°C or persistent clouds cap readings at 30°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,144Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**KMA forecasts point to a daytime maximum of 31°C in Seoul/Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, establishing the baseline for trader positioning around 30–32°C.**
Variable cloud cover from regional moisture—potentially influenced by distant typhoon Saudel circulation—introduces uncertainty by reducing surface insolation and enabling brief convective cooling, which can limit peaks even when guidance holds near 31°C. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect this sensitivity, with historical late-August patterns showing frequent 1–2°C deviations from deterministic highs amid humid, unstable air masses. Upcoming KMA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow 32°C or persistent clouds cap readings at 30°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,144Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**KMA forecasts point to a daytime maximum of 31°C in Seoul/Incheon on August 23 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, establishing the baseline for trader positioning around 30–32°C.** Variable cloud cover from regional moisture—potentially influenced by distant typhoon Saudel circulation—introduces uncertainty by reducing surface insolation and enabling brief convective cooling, which can limit peaks even when guidance holds near 31°C. Ensemble spreads in short-range models reflect this sensitivity, with historical late-August patterns showing frequent 1–2°C deviations from deterministic highs amid humid, unstable air masses. Upcoming KMA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer intervals allow 32°C or persistent clouds cap readings at 30°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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