Recent post-heatwave cooling combined with persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity has positioned 24–25°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s overnight low on August 23, with market-implied odds of 25°C at 45.5% and 24°C at 25.5%. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance indicates a minimum near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, yet trader consensus reflects uncertainty in model runs and the moderating influence of moist air that limits radiative cooling. Historical late-August minima cluster around 23–24°C, but the current regime has shifted probabilities upward. Updated forecast discussions and real-time station data ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 23 de agosto?
25°C 45%
24°C 26%
26°C 22%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
20°C o menos
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
5%
24°C
26%
25°C
45%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C o más
1%
25°C 45%
24°C 26%
26°C 22%
22°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
8%
23°C
$84 Vol.
5%
24°C
$182 Vol.
26%
25°C
$36 Vol.
45%
26°C
$1,288 Vol.
22%
27°C
$6 Vol.
4%
28°C
$10 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C o más
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent post-heatwave cooling combined with persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity has positioned 24–25°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s overnight low on August 23, with market-implied odds of 25°C at 45.5% and 24°C at 25.5%. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance indicates a minimum near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, yet trader consensus reflects uncertainty in model runs and the moderating influence of moist air that limits radiative cooling. Historical late-August minima cluster around 23–24°C, but the current regime has shifted probabilities upward. Updated forecast discussions and real-time station data ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,664Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent post-heatwave cooling combined with persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity has positioned 24–25°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s overnight low on August 23, with market-implied odds of 25°C at 45.5% and 24°C at 25.5%. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance indicates a minimum near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, yet trader consensus reflects uncertainty in model runs and the moderating influence of moist air that limits radiative cooling. Historical late-August minima cluster around 23–24°C, but the current regime has shifted probabilities upward. Updated forecast discussions and real-time station data ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,664Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent post-heatwave cooling combined with persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity has positioned 24–25°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s overnight low on August 23, with market-implied odds of 25°C at 45.5% and 24°C at 25.5%. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance indicates a minimum near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, yet trader consensus reflects uncertainty in model runs and the moderating influence of moist air that limits radiative cooling. Historical late-August minima cluster around 23–24°C, but the current regime has shifted probabilities upward. Updated forecast discussions and real-time station data ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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