Current forecast models from sources like China's meteorological services project a high near 32–33°C for Beijing on August 25, 2026, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the precise peak, as timing of precipitation and solar heating can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical August averages near 30°C but reflects above-normal warmth persisting from recent days. Traders weigh model consensus against variability in steering patterns and moisture, with limited upside for extremes above 34°C given the short-term outlook. Updated runs closer to the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 25 de agosto?
32°C 30%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
30°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
24%
32°C
30%
33°C
24%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
30°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
26°C or below
$92 Vol.
1%
27°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$116 Vol.
2%
29°C
$22 Vol.
6%
30°C
$23 Vol.
11%
31°C
$30 Vol.
24%
32°C
$37 Vol.
30%
33°C
$82 Vol.
24%
34°C
$114 Vol.
8%
35°C
$10 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like China's meteorological services project a high near 32–33°C for Beijing on August 25, 2026, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the precise peak, as timing of precipitation and solar heating can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical August averages near 30°C but reflects above-normal warmth persisting from recent days. Traders weigh model consensus against variability in steering patterns and moisture, with limited upside for extremes above 34°C given the short-term outlook. Updated runs closer to the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$616Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like China's meteorological services project a high near 32–33°C for Beijing on August 25, 2026, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the precise peak, as timing of precipitation and solar heating can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical August averages near 30°C but reflects above-normal warmth persisting from recent days. Traders weigh model consensus against variability in steering patterns and moisture, with limited upside for extremes above 34°C given the short-term outlook. Updated runs closer to the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$616Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like China's meteorological services project a high near 32–33°C for Beijing on August 25, 2026, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Afternoon thunderstorms and increased cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the precise peak, as timing of precipitation and solar heating can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical August averages near 30°C but reflects above-normal warmth persisting from recent days. Traders weigh model consensus against variability in steering patterns and moisture, with limited upside for extremes above 34°C given the short-term outlook. Updated runs closer to the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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