National Weather Service and NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks for late August point to cooler-than-average conditions across the Northeast, with a 33-40% probability of below-normal temperatures from August 25-31, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome in trader assessments. This aligns with ensemble model guidance showing a high-pressure ridge and northerly flow limiting daytime heating, keeping Central Park highs near the 79°F August climatological average rather than the typical peak warmth. Recent model runs have shown little deviation, with limited moisture or southerly advection to support 82°F-plus readings, though minor forecast shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could still nudge results into the 80-81°F bracket.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 25 de agosto?
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
67°F or below
$108 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$96 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$314 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$150 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$98 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$707 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$1,200 Vol.
45%
80-81°F
$221 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$234 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$146 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$113 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks for late August point to cooler-than-average conditions across the Northeast, with a 33-40% probability of below-normal temperatures from August 25-31, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome in trader assessments. This aligns with ensemble model guidance showing a high-pressure ridge and northerly flow limiting daytime heating, keeping Central Park highs near the 79°F August climatological average rather than the typical peak warmth. Recent model runs have shown little deviation, with limited moisture or southerly advection to support 82°F-plus readings, though minor forecast shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could still nudge results into the 80-81°F bracket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$3,388Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks for late August point to cooler-than-average conditions across the Northeast, with a 33-40% probability of below-normal temperatures from August 25-31, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome in trader assessments. This aligns with ensemble model guidance showing a high-pressure ridge and northerly flow limiting daytime heating, keeping Central Park highs near the 79°F August climatological average rather than the typical peak warmth. Recent model runs have shown little deviation, with limited moisture or southerly advection to support 82°F-plus readings, though minor forecast shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could still nudge results into the 80-81°F bracket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,388Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and NOAA Climate Prediction Center outlooks for late August point to cooler-than-average conditions across the Northeast, with a 33-40% probability of below-normal temperatures from August 25-31, positioning 78-79°F as the modal outcome in trader assessments. This aligns with ensemble model guidance showing a high-pressure ridge and northerly flow limiting daytime heating, keeping Central Park highs near the 79°F August climatological average rather than the typical peak warmth. Recent model runs have shown little deviation, with limited moisture or southerly advection to support 82°F-plus readings, though minor forecast shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could still nudge results into the 80-81°F bracket.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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