Current forecast guidance for Mexico City points to typical mid-August wet-season conditions, with daytime highs most likely reaching 22–23°C as afternoon convective storms and associated cloud cover cap peak temperatures. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, solar heating is moderated compared with lower-altitude regions, while the ongoing rainy season brings frequent thunderstorms that enhance evaporative cooling and reduce insolation after midday. Historical climatology shows August mean highs near 23–24°C, and recent model runs align with this baseline rather than any anomalous warming or clear-sky persistence. Traders have concentrated probability on these central outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical for a single-day temperature resolution under stable synoptic patterns. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for market settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 25 de agosto?
23°C 39%
22°C 24%
24°C 22%
21°C 11%
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
24%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
5%
26°C o más
5%
23°C 39%
22°C 24%
24°C 22%
21°C 11%
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
24%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
5%
26°C o más
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance for Mexico City points to typical mid-August wet-season conditions, with daytime highs most likely reaching 22–23°C as afternoon convective storms and associated cloud cover cap peak temperatures. At the city's 2,240-meter elevation, solar heating is moderated compared with lower-altitude regions, while the ongoing rainy season brings frequent thunderstorms that enhance evaporative cooling and reduce insolation after midday. Historical climatology shows August mean highs near 23–24°C, and recent model runs align with this baseline rather than any anomalous warming or clear-sky persistence. Traders have concentrated probability on these central outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range typical for a single-day temperature resolution under stable synoptic patterns. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data for market settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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