**Drier southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall across Singapore in late August are the main drivers positioning 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for the August 26 daily maximum.** Official outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service indicate most days will see highs of 33–34°C under fair, occasionally windy skies, with localized thundery showers possible in the afternoon that could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover. Recent subseasonal forecasts reinforce this pattern through the end of the month, consistent with moderate El Niño influences reducing regional moisture. Model consensus and historical August variability around these values explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 31°C, while assigning low odds to extremes above 34°C or below 30°C absent a sharp shift in steering flow or unexpected convective activity. Updated short-range guidance on the 26th itself will be the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 26 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 26 de agosto?
32°C 44%
31°C 28%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
28%
32°C
44%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 28%
33°C 14%
30°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
27°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$284 Vol.
1%
29°C
$208 Vol.
2%
30°C
$601 Vol.
8%
31°C
$2,720 Vol.
28%
32°C
$1,068 Vol.
44%
33°C
$959 Vol.
14%
34°C
$241 Vol.
3%
35°C
$13 Vol.
1%
36°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$84 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Drier southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall across Singapore in late August are the main drivers positioning 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for the August 26 daily maximum.** Official outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service indicate most days will see highs of 33–34°C under fair, occasionally windy skies, with localized thundery showers possible in the afternoon that could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover. Recent subseasonal forecasts reinforce this pattern through the end of the month, consistent with moderate El Niño influences reducing regional moisture. Model consensus and historical August variability around these values explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 31°C, while assigning low odds to extremes above 34°C or below 30°C absent a sharp shift in steering flow or unexpected convective activity. Updated short-range guidance on the 26th itself will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$6,244Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Drier southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall across Singapore in late August are the main drivers positioning 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for the August 26 daily maximum.** Official outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service indicate most days will see highs of 33–34°C under fair, occasionally windy skies, with localized thundery showers possible in the afternoon that could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover. Recent subseasonal forecasts reinforce this pattern through the end of the month, consistent with moderate El Niño influences reducing regional moisture. Model consensus and historical August variability around these values explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 31°C, while assigning low odds to extremes above 34°C or below 30°C absent a sharp shift in steering flow or unexpected convective activity. Updated short-range guidance on the 26th itself will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,244Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Drier southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall across Singapore in late August are the main drivers positioning 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for the August 26 daily maximum.** Official outlooks from Singapore’s Meteorological Service indicate most days will see highs of 33–34°C under fair, occasionally windy skies, with localized thundery showers possible in the afternoon that could cap temperatures through increased cloud cover. Recent subseasonal forecasts reinforce this pattern through the end of the month, consistent with moderate El Niño influences reducing regional moisture. Model consensus and historical August variability around these values explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 31°C, while assigning low odds to extremes above 34°C or below 30°C absent a sharp shift in steering flow or unexpected convective activity. Updated short-range guidance on the 26th itself will be the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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