**Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% probability on 32°C and secondary support for 31°C and 33°C.** Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and light easterly flow, typically produce peak readings in the early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent model runs show little spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming tropical systems or frontal passages to alter the trajectory. Historical August baselines in the region average 31–33°C highs, so current data represent near-normal values rather than extremes. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban heat effects capable of nudging the exact value between the clustered 31–33°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 26 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 26 de agosto?
32°C 53%
31°C 21%
33°C 18%
30°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
53%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
31°C 21%
33°C 18%
30°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
26°C or below
$119 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,063 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$275 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$647 Vol.
2%
30°C
$609 Vol.
5%
31°C
$3,732 Vol.
21%
32°C
$516 Vol.
53%
33°C
$544 Vol.
18%
34°C
$952 Vol.
5%
35°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% probability on 32°C and secondary support for 31°C and 33°C.** Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and light easterly flow, typically produce peak readings in the early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent model runs show little spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming tropical systems or frontal passages to alter the trajectory. Historical August baselines in the region average 31–33°C highs, so current data represent near-normal values rather than extremes. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban heat effects capable of nudging the exact value between the clustered 31–33°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,708Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% probability on 32°C and secondary support for 31°C and 33°C.** Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and light easterly flow, typically produce peak readings in the early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent model runs show little spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming tropical systems or frontal passages to alter the trajectory. Historical August baselines in the region average 31–33°C highs, so current data represent near-normal values rather than extremes. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban heat effects capable of nudging the exact value between the clustered 31–33°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,708Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% probability on 32°C and secondary support for 31°C and 33°C.** Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and light easterly flow, typically produce peak readings in the early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent model runs show little spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming tropical systems or frontal passages to alter the trajectory. Historical August baselines in the region average 31–33°C highs, so current data represent near-normal values rather than extremes. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban heat effects capable of nudging the exact value between the clustered 31–33°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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