National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a peak near 106°F in Dallas on August 25 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting strong subsidence, mostly sunny skies, and light southwesterly flow that favors efficient daytime heating with dew points in the upper 50s. This ongoing late-summer heat wave, with recent highs reaching 106°F and extreme heat warnings active through the day, positions the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins as the primary market focus, though slight forecast revisions and model spread create uncertainty around exact maxima. Traders weigh climatological August baselines against current observational trends and any late-day boundary-layer mixing that could cap readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 25 de agosto?
104-105°F 46%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 16%
100-101°F 5.6%
$10,980 Vol.
$10,980 Vol.
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
46%
106-107°F
16%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 46%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 16%
100-101°F 5.6%
$10,980 Vol.
$10,980 Vol.
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
46%
106-107°F
16%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a peak near 106°F in Dallas on August 25 amid a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting strong subsidence, mostly sunny skies, and light southwesterly flow that favors efficient daytime heating with dew points in the upper 50s. This ongoing late-summer heat wave, with recent highs reaching 106°F and extreme heat warnings active through the day, positions the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins as the primary market focus, though slight forecast revisions and model spread create uncertainty around exact maxima. Traders weigh climatological August baselines against current observational trends and any late-day boundary-layer mixing that could cap readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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