Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and multiple models project Moscow's daytime high on August 29 near 20–22°C under variable cloudiness and light rain, with southerly winds around 3–8 m/s and pressure near 755–770 mm Hg. This consensus, slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.1°C, drives the strong 70% market-implied probability for 21°C as the peak, as current midday readings approach but have not exceeded that threshold. Partial cloud cover and modest moisture limit further warming, while 22°C remains plausible if breaks allow more insolation; cooler outcomes appear unlikely absent rapid cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to reinforce this narrow range ahead of final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 29 de agosto?
21°C 55%
22°C 23%
20°C 19%
23°C 6.9%
$22,502 Vol.
$22,502 Vol.
29 ago 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
19%
21°C
55%
22°C
23%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 55%
22°C 23%
20°C 19%
23°C 6.9%
$22,502 Vol.
$22,502 Vol.
29 ago 2026
14°C or below
$301 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,211 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$663 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,240 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,816 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5,081 Vol.
19%
21°C
$2,541 Vol.
55%
22°C
$2,054 Vol.
23%
23°C
$1,467 Vol.
7%
24°C or higher
$1,104 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and multiple models project Moscow's daytime high on August 29 near 20–22°C under variable cloudiness and light rain, with southerly winds around 3–8 m/s and pressure near 755–770 mm Hg. This consensus, slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.1°C, drives the strong 70% market-implied probability for 21°C as the peak, as current midday readings approach but have not exceeded that threshold. Partial cloud cover and modest moisture limit further warming, while 22°C remains plausible if breaks allow more insolation; cooler outcomes appear unlikely absent rapid cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to reinforce this narrow range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$22,502Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and multiple models project Moscow's daytime high on August 29 near 20–22°C under variable cloudiness and light rain, with southerly winds around 3–8 m/s and pressure near 755–770 mm Hg. This consensus, slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.1°C, drives the strong 70% market-implied probability for 21°C as the peak, as current midday readings approach but have not exceeded that threshold. Partial cloud cover and modest moisture limit further warming, while 22°C remains plausible if breaks allow more insolation; cooler outcomes appear unlikely absent rapid cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to reinforce this narrow range ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$22,502Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and multiple models project Moscow's daytime high on August 29 near 20–22°C under variable cloudiness and light rain, with southerly winds around 3–8 m/s and pressure near 755–770 mm Hg. This consensus, slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.1°C, drives the strong 70% market-implied probability for 21°C as the peak, as current midday readings approach but have not exceeded that threshold. Partial cloud cover and modest moisture limit further warming, while 22°C remains plausible if breaks allow more insolation; cooler outcomes appear unlikely absent rapid cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations continue to reinforce this narrow range ahead of final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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