Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate a high of 20–22°C in Moscow on August 30 under variable cloud cover, southerly flow, and possible light rain, which limits daytime solar heating and keeps values near late-August climatological norms of roughly 19–21°C. These conditions position 21°C as the most probable outcome in trader assessments, with 20°C and 22°C close behind due to minor model spreads in maximum temperature and boundary-layer mixing. No significant warm advection or clear-sky episodes appear likely to push readings higher, while the risk of under-20°C readings remains low absent stronger cooling. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 30 de agosto?
21°C 40%
22°C 26%
20°C 20%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
40%
22°C
26%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 40%
22°C 26%
20°C 20%
23°C 6%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
40%
22°C
26%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate a high of 20–22°C in Moscow on August 30 under variable cloud cover, southerly flow, and possible light rain, which limits daytime solar heating and keeps values near late-August climatological norms of roughly 19–21°C. These conditions position 21°C as the most probable outcome in trader assessments, with 20°C and 22°C close behind due to minor model spreads in maximum temperature and boundary-layer mixing. No significant warm advection or clear-sky episodes appear likely to push readings higher, while the risk of under-20°C readings remains low absent stronger cooling. Updated model runs through the evening of August 29 will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes