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icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 28 de agosto?

¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 28 de agosto?

icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 28 de agosto?

¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 28 de agosto?

32°C 51%

31°C 37%

33°C 11%

30°C 1.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$56,079 Vol.

32°C 51%

31°C 37%

33°C 11%

30°C 1.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$56,079 Vol.

25°C or below

$214 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$210 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$274 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$1,364 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$10,238 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$13,464 Vol.

2%

31°C

$8,792 Vol.

37%

32°C

$9,187 Vol.

51%

33°C

$6,900 Vol.

11%

34°C

$3,093 Vol.

<1%

35°C or higher

$2,343 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 28 project a maximum of 28–32°C under weak southwesterly flow and a broad low-pressure trough, with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and brief afternoon sunny intervals that could allow localized heating. Current district readings have already reached 30–32.9°C by midday, supporting trader consensus on 31–32°C outcomes at combined 84% implied probability. High humidity near 80–95% and frequent convection limit extreme peaks, while model consensus and historical August norms around 31°C keep 33°C or higher at just 11.5%. Real-time HKO updates through the afternoon will resolve whether sun breaks push the daily high to the upper forecast bound.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$56,079
Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 28 project a maximum of 28–32°C under weak southwesterly flow and a broad low-pressure trough, with mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and brief afternoon sunny intervals that could allow localized heating. Current district readings have already reached 30–32.9°C by midday, supporting trader consensus on 31–32°C outcomes at combined 84% implied probability. High humidity near 80–95% and frequent convection limit extreme peaks, while model consensus and historical August norms around 31°C keep 33°C or higher at just 11.5%. Real-time HKO updates through the afternoon will resolve whether sun breaks push the daily high to the upper forecast bound.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$56,079
Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 28 de agosto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "32°C" con 51%, seguido de "31°C" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 51¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 28 de agosto?" ha generado $56.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 28 de agosto?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 28 de agosto?" es "32°C" con 51%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31°C" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 28 de agosto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.