Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City show a sunny Saturday with overnight lows centered in the mid-60s, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient radiational cooling under a high-pressure ridge. These conditions favor the market's leading 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Minor model spreads arise from subtle variations in dew point depression, wind shifts after midnight, and urban heat island effects that can blunt the minimum by 1–2°F. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 68°F, so this cooler pattern reflects the current northerly flow; final resolution hinges on Central Park observations through dawn on August 29.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 29 de agosto?
64-65°F 38%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 6%
55°F o menos
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F o más
<1%
64-65°F 38%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 16%
62-63°F 6%
55°F o menos
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City show a sunny Saturday with overnight lows centered in the mid-60s, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient radiational cooling under a high-pressure ridge. These conditions favor the market's leading 64-65°F and 66-67°F bins, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Minor model spreads arise from subtle variations in dew point depression, wind shifts after midnight, and urban heat island effects that can blunt the minimum by 1–2°F. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 68°F, so this cooler pattern reflects the current northerly flow; final resolution hinges on Central Park observations through dawn on August 29.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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