Wellington's daily maximum temperature on August 29 is market-implied at 15°C with near-certainty, driven by consensus forecasts from MetService and aligned models showing northerly flow advecting milder maritime air masses over the region. Current observations and ensemble runs place afternoon peaks near this threshold under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northwest winds gusting 20-30 knots, consistent with late-winter climatology where highs typically reach 13-15°C. This positioning reflects real-time surface data and model agreement on boundary-layer warming without significant cold advection or cloud cover suppressing insolation. A rapid wind shift to southerlies or unforecast frontal passage could pull readings lower, though such changes appear unlikely given the day's progression and stable pressure field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 29 de agosto?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$68,892 Vol.
$68,892 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$68,892 Vol.
$68,892 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's daily maximum temperature on August 29 is market-implied at 15°C with near-certainty, driven by consensus forecasts from MetService and aligned models showing northerly flow advecting milder maritime air masses over the region. Current observations and ensemble runs place afternoon peaks near this threshold under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with northwest winds gusting 20-30 knots, consistent with late-winter climatology where highs typically reach 13-15°C. This positioning reflects real-time surface data and model agreement on boundary-layer warming without significant cold advection or cloud cover suppressing insolation. A rapid wind shift to southerlies or unforecast frontal passage could pull readings lower, though such changes appear unlikely given the day's progression and stable pressure field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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