Recent forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs supports a modest daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Paris on August 29 under persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, holding temperatures below the late-August climatological average high near 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 22°C and 23°C outcomes because small differences in shower timing, boundary-layer mixing, and wind gusts of 20–30 km/h can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station. Ensemble spreads and the narrow probability gap between these bins reflect genuine uncertainty in precisely how much daytime heating will occur before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 29 de agosto?
22°C 34%
23°C 33%
21°C 20%
24°C 12%
NUEVO
$32,512 Vol.
NUEVO
$32,512 Vol.
29 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
20%
22°C
34%
23°C
33%
24°C
12%
25°C or higher
4%
22°C 34%
23°C 33%
21°C 20%
24°C 12%
NUEVO
$32,512 Vol.
NUEVO
$32,512 Vol.
29 ago 2026
15°C or below
$394 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,873 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,424 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,179 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,912 Vol.
3%
21°C
$4,616 Vol.
20%
22°C
$4,229 Vol.
34%
23°C
$5,650 Vol.
33%
24°C
$5,944 Vol.
12%
25°C or higher
$2,946 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs supports a modest daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Paris on August 29 under persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, holding temperatures below the late-August climatological average high near 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 22°C and 23°C outcomes because small differences in shower timing, boundary-layer mixing, and wind gusts of 20–30 km/h can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station. Ensemble spreads and the narrow probability gap between these bins reflect genuine uncertainty in precisely how much daytime heating will occur before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$32,512Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs supports a modest daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Paris on August 29 under persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, holding temperatures below the late-August climatological average high near 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 22°C and 23°C outcomes because small differences in shower timing, boundary-layer mixing, and wind gusts of 20–30 km/h can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station. Ensemble spreads and the narrow probability gap between these bins reflect genuine uncertainty in precisely how much daytime heating will occur before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32,512Fecha de finalización
29 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs supports a modest daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Paris on August 29 under persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers. These conditions suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, holding temperatures below the late-August climatological average high near 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around the 22°C and 23°C outcomes because small differences in shower timing, boundary-layer mixing, and wind gusts of 20–30 km/h can shift the observed peak by 1–2°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station. Ensemble spreads and the narrow probability gap between these bins reflect genuine uncertainty in precisely how much daytime heating will occur before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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