**Recent model consensus from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles points to a minimum temperature of 15–17°C on August 29, 2026, driven by a cooler Atlantic air mass advected by brisk southwesterly winds.** Forecasts indicate daytime highs near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible, limiting daytime heating and overnight radiative cooling. Winds of 20–30 km/h (with gusts to 50+ km/h) will further moderate the nocturnal temperature drop by enhancing mixing in the boundary layer. This setup aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C (46.5%) and 17°C (25.5%), as the implied probabilities reflect trader weighting of GFS/ECMWF guidance showing a most-likely minimum in the mid-16°C range. A modest probability mass at 15°C (16.5%) accounts for slightly stronger cooling if showers clear earlier than expected, while higher values (18°C+) remain less favored given the established westerly flow. Historical August 29 averages (high ~24°C, low ~13.5°C) provide context, but the current oceanic influence keeps readings above climatological norms. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.