Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models indicate Paris overnight lows on August 27 will most likely fall between 17–20 °C as a southwesterly flow advects milder, moister Atlantic air ahead of a weakening trough. This pattern, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clearer high-pressure regimes. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 18–19 °C clustering (over 70 % combined probability) aligns with these model outputs and the month’s +2–3 °C temperature anomaly. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing or rainfall, which could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 27 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 27 de agosto?
19°C 39%
18°C 30%
20°C 19%
17°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
14°C o menos
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
6%
17°C
9%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
19%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C o más
5%
19°C 39%
18°C 30%
20°C 19%
17°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
14°C o menos
$5 Vol.
4%
15°C
$5 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
6%
17°C
$0 Vol.
9%
18°C
$0 Vol.
30%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$5 Vol.
4%
24°C o más
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models indicate Paris overnight lows on August 27 will most likely fall between 17–20 °C as a southwesterly flow advects milder, moister Atlantic air ahead of a weakening trough. This pattern, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clearer high-pressure regimes. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 18–19 °C clustering (over 70 % combined probability) aligns with these model outputs and the month’s +2–3 °C temperature anomaly. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing or rainfall, which could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models indicate Paris overnight lows on August 27 will most likely fall between 17–20 °C as a southwesterly flow advects milder, moister Atlantic air ahead of a weakening trough. This pattern, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clearer high-pressure regimes. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 18–19 °C clustering (over 70 % combined probability) aligns with these model outputs and the month’s +2–3 °C temperature anomaly. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing or rainfall, which could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON models indicate Paris overnight lows on August 27 will most likely fall between 17–20 °C as a southwesterly flow advects milder, moister Atlantic air ahead of a weakening trough. This pattern, combined with increasing cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clearer high-pressure regimes. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 18–19 °C clustering (over 70 % combined probability) aligns with these model outputs and the month’s +2–3 °C temperature anomaly. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing or rainfall, which could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes